IK Brage 1-2 Sandvikens IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 27% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.37
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.15
X/1
17%
5.69
X/2
13%
6.09
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
17%
3.7
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.4pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.62/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.98
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sandvikens IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.05.2024 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
02.08.2017 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF 0-1 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Sandvikens IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandvikens IF edged past IK Brage 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IK Brage at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Brage and 0.00 for Sandvikens IF.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Sandvikens IF?

IK Brage 1-2 Sandvikens IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Sandvikens IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 41%, draw 24%, Sandvikens IF 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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