Cadiz 1-2 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.35
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
16%
3.58
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
18%
4.3
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
7.91
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.55/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.46
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
27.1 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
1-2
AWAY Eldense
1.59 xG 2.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
336 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 27
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense edged past Cadiz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) promised a tight game; Eldense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cadiz had 55% of the ball to Eldense's 45%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.59 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Eldense?

Cadiz 1-2 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 40%, draw 32%, Eldense 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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