Sporting Gijon 1-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.68
X/2
12%
6.02
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.94
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.25/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.11
+9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.2 Crosses 17.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.10.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.01.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
17.09.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.02.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
07.11.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.75 xG 0.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
417 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Real Zaragoza 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Gijon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 60% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 40%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.75 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.67 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Real Zaragoza?

Sporting Gijon 1-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 38%, draw 28%, Real Zaragoza 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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