Malaga 0-3 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Malaga
0-3 HT 0-1
Elche
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Malaga vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
14%
7.46
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.0
X/1
19%
4.9
X/2
11%
5.71
X/X
13%
3.04
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.89
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.6pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-5.0pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.17/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.34
-25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.6 Crosses 22.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Malaga vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Elche
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.02.2020 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
24.11.2019 Malaga Malaga 3-3 HT 1-2 Elche Elche İS2
08.06.2019 Malaga Malaga 3-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
19.10.2018 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
03.05.2015 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS1
21.12.2014 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS1

Malaga 0-3 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-3
AWAY Elche
0.58 xG 2.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche ran out comfortable winners over Malaga 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

On the day, Malaga had 51% of the ball to Elche's 49%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.58 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malaga and 1.67 for Elche.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Elche?

Malaga 0-3 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Malaga 44%, draw 30%, Elche 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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