Servette 1-0 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
30%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
10%
8.11
X/X
10%
5.64
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.93/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.32
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.6 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 307
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Servette Servette 3-1 HT 1-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
09.12.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
30.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
03.04.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 4-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
05.02.2022 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
28.11.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-3 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
1-0
AWAY Lausanne Sports
2.03 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
261 Passes 240
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Servette vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette squeezed past Lausanne Sports 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Servette had 51% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 49%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.03 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Servette's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Servette and 1.17 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Servette vs Lausanne Sports?

Servette 1-0 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Servette 45%, draw 23%, Lausanne Sports 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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