Yverdon 1-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
15%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.41
1/2
7%
20.35
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
9.52
X/2
16%
4.3
X/X
10%
6.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.14
2/X
8%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 58%
+28% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.23/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.29
+46% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
15.6 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.92 xG 2.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 5-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
06.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
01.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.04.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSVK
15.04.2006 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
22.03.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
1-0
AWAY St. Gallen
0.60 xG 1.57
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
168 Passes 463
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon edged past St. Gallen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yverdon had 32% of the ball to St. Gallen's 68%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.60 to 1.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Gallen.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yverdon and 2.33 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs St. Gallen?

Yverdon 1-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 30%, draw 23%, St. Gallen 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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