Keflavik vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Keflavik v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals
Keflavik vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-0
HT 2-0
Afturelding
İZLK
2-2
HT 1-1
Keflavik
İZL1
3-1
HT 2-1
Afturelding
İZLK
Keflavik 0-1 Afturelding — Actual Match Statistics
Afturelding squeezed past Keflavik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Keflavik had 47% of the ball to Afturelding's 53%, shots finished 5-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Keflavik and 0.80 for Afturelding.
What was the final score of Keflavik vs Afturelding?
Keflavik 0-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Afturelding?
Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 33%, draw 26%, Afturelding 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.