Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Racing Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.33
Over 2.5
35%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
72%
-6.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
28%
+6.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Cordoba EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.21/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.36
+6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
13.05.2024 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
25.06.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba ARJPBN
18.02.2023 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros nicked a narrow win over Racing Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 38% / 21% — and on the day Estudiantes Caseros made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.33 for Racing Cordoba.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing Cordoba?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Racing Cordoba in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 41%, draw 38%, Racing Cordoba 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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