San Miguel 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.8pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.6pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 28%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.80/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.24
+46% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.05.2024 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-0 HT 2-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and Gimnasia Jujuy shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (74%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

San Miguel 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 39%, draw 33%, Gimnasia Jujuy 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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