Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.53/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.03
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
06.08.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
18.03.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
29.10.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-2 HT 2-2 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
02.07.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-2 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
19.09.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-0
AWAY Isloch Minsk
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk saw off Isloch Minsk 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 60% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 40%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 1.17 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 54%, draw 26%, Isloch Minsk 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
28 Sep 2024
14:00 Slutsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Analysis →
16:00 Smorgon vs Vitebsk Analysis →