Slutsk 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slutsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.28/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.34
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slutsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
11.05.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slutsk
1-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slutsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Slutsk had 52% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Slutsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Slutsk 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slutsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slutsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slutsk 38%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slutsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slutsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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