FC Fredericia 3-0 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.3
2-3 Goals
42%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.18
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
7%
9.05
X/X
10%
6.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.1
2/2
13%
5.62
2/X
10%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.45/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.38
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.3 Crosses 10.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
538 Passes 281
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-4 HT 0-3 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
18.08.2023 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 0-5 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
3-0
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
2.87 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
468 Passes 481
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia swept aside B93 Kopenhag 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Fredericia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 49% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 51%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.87 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Fredericia and 2.00 for B93 Kopenhag.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs B93 Kopenhag?

FC Fredericia 3-0 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 45%, draw 25%, B93 Kopenhag 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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