PK-35 ry 0-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 27% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 61%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.89/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.03
-16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-1 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
19.05.2024 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
16.07.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-4 HT 0-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2
15.05.2022 Jaro Jaro 4-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
28.08.2021 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.06.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
0-1
AWAY Jaro
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro nicked a narrow win over PK-35 ry 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 49% of the ball to Jaro's 51%, shots finished 3-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PK-35 ry and 2.17 for Jaro.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs Jaro?

PK-35 ry 0-1 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 28%, draw 23%, Jaro 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
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