PKKU 3-4 VIFK Vaasa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 28 Sep 2024

PKKU
3-4 HT 3-1
VIFK Vaasa
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen Championship – 2024

PKKU vs VIFK Vaasa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
10.7
2-3 Goals
36%
2.63
4-5 Goals
40%
2.31
6+ Goals
12%
3.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
17%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.6pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.1pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PKKU v VIFK Vaasa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PKKU EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+109% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

PKKU vs VIFK Vaasa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PKKU
1W-1D-0L
AWAY VIFK Vaasa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 1
The Meetings
17.08.2024 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 1-4 HT 0-2 PKKU PKKU FİN3
02.06.2024 PKKU PKKU 2-2 HT 2-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİN2
POST-MATCH PKKU vs VIFK Vaasa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VIFK Vaasa nicked a narrow win over PKKU 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. PKKU carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PKKU had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PKKU and 1.50 for VIFK Vaasa.

What was the final score of PKKU vs VIFK Vaasa?

PKKU 3-4 VIFK Vaasa in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PKKU vs VIFK Vaasa?

Before kick-off our model rated a PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split PKKU 58%, draw 22%, VIFK Vaasa 20%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PKKU) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PKKU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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