KuPS Ak. 3-2 Vaajakoski — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
3.94
Over 2.5
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.35
No
29%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
9.69
2-3 Goals
30%
2.51
4-5 Goals
40%
2.32
6+ Goals
19%
3.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+3.9pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-3.9pp
71%
BTTS Yes
70%
+0.9pp
29%
BTTS No
30%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaajakoski EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vaajakoski
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
10.07.2024 Vaajakoski Vaajakoski 2-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
30.05.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 5-1 HT 3-1 Vaajakoski Vaajakoski FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
3-2
AWAY Vaajakoski
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 7
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. edged past Vaajakoski 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Ak. as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 45% of the ball to Vaajakoski's 55%, shots finished 6-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KuPS Ak. had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for KuPS Ak. and 1.50 for Vaajakoski.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski?

KuPS Ak. 3-2 Vaajakoski in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 58%, draw 19%, Vaajakoski 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Ak.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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