JJK Jyvaskyla 3-2 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.5
No
59%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.41
2-3 Goals
37%
2.12
4-5 Goals
32%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
62%
-21.3pp
59%
BTTS No
38%
+21.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla
2W-0D-0L
AWAY EPS
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
29.06.2024 EPS EPS 1-3 HT 0-2 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
26.04.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 3-1 HT 2-0 EPS EPS FİN2
POST-MATCH JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JJK Jyvaskyla nicked a narrow win over EPS 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JJK Jyvaskyla as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, JJK Jyvaskyla had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for JJK Jyvaskyla and 1.00 for EPS.

What was the final score of JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS?

JJK Jyvaskyla 3-2 EPS in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a JJK Jyvaskyla win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split JJK Jyvaskyla 57%, draw 19%, EPS 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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