Flint Town United 0-1 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Flint Town United
0-1 HT 0-0
Penybont
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Flint Town United vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
6%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flint Town United v Penybont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.81/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.31
-16% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Flint Town United vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Penybont
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
The Meetings
01.10.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 1-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
27.08.2022 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 0-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
18.04.2022 Penybont Penybont 0-3 HT 0-3 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.03.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
26.02.2022 Penybont Penybont 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
06.11.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 3-1 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL

Flint Town United 0-1 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flint Town United
0-1
AWAY Penybont
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont squeezed past Flint Town United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Flint Town United had 46% of the ball to Penybont's 54%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flint Town United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Flint Town United and 0.83 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Penybont?

Flint Town United 0-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 19%, draw 27%, Penybont 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ BTTS No
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