Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 5-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
4-1
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GALWK
0-4
HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
Caernarfon Town saw off Connahs Quay 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caernarfon Town and 3.17 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town 3-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 31%, draw 28%, Connahs Quay 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.