Briton Ferry 2-2 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.67/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.41
-26% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -47%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.08.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
04.02.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALWK
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry and Bala Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Bala Town carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Briton Ferry and 2.00 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Bala Town?

Briton Ferry 2-2 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 21%, draw 24%, Bala Town 56%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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