Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
12.3
1/2
8%
21.1
1/X
5%
20.35
X/1
10%
16.4
X/2
18%
3.57
X/X
9%
7.53
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.59
2/X
9%
20.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 72%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.85/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.84
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
13.8 Crosses 20.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.66 xG 1.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
282 Passes 459
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2 HT 3-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
25.09.2021 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
09.05.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
08.11.2020 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
21.08.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HAZ
08.02.2020 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
0-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.64 xG 1.62
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
205 Passes 696
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven got the better of Willem II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Willem II had 26% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 74%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.64 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Willem II and 2.33 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven?

Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Willem II 23%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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