NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
15%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.33
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
8%
11.05
X/2
15%
3.95
X/X
16%
5.6
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.98
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.03/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.99
-23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
17.8 Crosses 20.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.02 xG 2.78
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 10
264 Passes 558
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 54
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-3 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
21.04.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOK
14.01.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2 HT 2-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
08.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-4 HT 0-2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOK
25.01.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
02.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1-1
AWAY Feyenoord
1.12 xG 1.27
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
201 Passes 472
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Feyenoord at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 34% of the ball to Feyenoord's 66%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.12 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 2.17 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?

NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 21%, draw 28%, Feyenoord 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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