Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-1 SC Damash Gilanian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.13/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.30
-19% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.11.2023 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Masjed Soleyman vs SC Damash Gilanian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Damash Gilanian nicked a narrow win over Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Masjed Soleyman at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Naft Masjed Soleyman vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-1 SC Damash Gilanian in the Iran - Azadegan League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Masjed Soleyman win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naft Masjed Soleyman 49%, draw 27%, SC Damash Gilanian 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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