Niroye Zamini 0-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 28 Sep 2024

Niroye Zamini
0-1 HT 0-1
Naft Gachsaran
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2024/2025

Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
5.93
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.81 — our 49% vs market 47.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
38%
-10.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Niroye Zamini v Naft Gachsaran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niroye Zamini EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 42%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.35
-100% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran nicked a narrow win over Niroye Zamini 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Naft Gachsaran found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran?

Niroye Zamini 0-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niroye Zamini win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Niroye Zamini 40%, draw 33%, Naft Gachsaran 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Niroye Zamini) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niroye Zamini) ✓ Under 2.5
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