NK Bravo 3-2 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
11%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.74
+4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Bravo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celje
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 0-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
10.04.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
18.02.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
26.11.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
07.10.2023 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
23.04.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Bravo
3-2
AWAY Celje
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NK Bravo vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo edged past Celje 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day NK Bravo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, NK Bravo had 43% of the ball to Celje's 57%, shots finished 20-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for NK Bravo and 1.83 for Celje.

What was the final score of NK Bravo vs Celje?

NK Bravo 3-2 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Bravo vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NK Bravo 33%, draw 27%, Celje 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celje)
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