Nafta 0-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Nafta
0-0 HT 0-0
Mura
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 45%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.13
+69% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mura
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
20.07.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
24.06.2020 Nafta Nafta 0-2 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
0-0
AWAY Mura
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta and Mura played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 58% of the ball to Mura's 42%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mura led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nafta and 1.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Mura?

Nafta 0-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nafta 35%, draw 26%, Mura 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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