Al Fateh 2-4 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
12%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.57/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.00
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
20.6 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.23 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
27.09.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SAKK
18.08.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-4
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.47 xG 2.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
374 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud got the better of Al Fateh 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 55% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 45%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.47 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Fateh and 0.67 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Fateh 2-4 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 42%, draw 27%, Al Akhdoud 31%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh)
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