Al Kholood 2-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.39
2-3 Goals
35%
2.24
4-5 Goals
31%
2.43
6+ Goals
16%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
7%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.3pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 84%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
0.73/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.66
-100% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +46%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 86%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
12.0 Crosses 21.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
2-4
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.58 xG 1.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
209 Passes 462
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh got the better of Al Kholood 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Kholood had 35% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 65%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.87.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Kholood 2-4 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 16%, draw 21%, Al Hilal Riyadh 63%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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