Al Orubah 1-0 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.02/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
13.0 Crosses 15.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
1-0
AWAY Damac FC
0.52 xG 0.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
221 Passes 398
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah edged past Damac FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Orubah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Orubah had 39% of the ball to Damac FC's 61%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.52 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Damac FC?

Al Orubah 1-0 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Orubah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 41%, draw 28%, Damac FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Orubah), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Orubah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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