Nakhon Pathom vs Sukhothai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Pathom v Sukhothai — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Pathom vs Sukhothai Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sukhothai
TAY1
2-1
HT 2-0
Nakhon Pathom
TAY1
Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Sukhothai — Actual Match Statistics
Sukhothai nicked a narrow win over Nakhon Pathom 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sukhothai found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 59% of the ball to Sukhothai's 41%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.28 to 0.51 — on chances, Nakhon Pathom could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sukhothai led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 1.67 for Sukhothai.
What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Sukhothai?
Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Sukhothai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 39%, draw 29%, Sukhothai 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.