Vanersborgs FK 1-3 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
65%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.4pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.8pp
65%
Away Win
64%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 69%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.86/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.10
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
0W-0D-3L
AWAY FBK Karlstad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
29.07.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-4 HT 0-2 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ4
07.04.2023 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 3-0 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad beat Vanersborgs FK 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FBK Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FBK Karlstad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 3.00 for FBK Karlstad.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs FBK Karlstad?

Vanersborgs FK 1-3 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 19%, draw 16%, FBK Karlstad 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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