Motala AIF FK 4-2 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.15/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.91
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
476 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 3-0 HT 1-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
10.08.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
13.04.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK saw off Vanersborgs IF 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motala AIF FK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs IF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Motala AIF FK and 1.67 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Motala AIF FK 4-2 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 62%, draw 20%, Vanersborgs IF 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motala AIF FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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