Motala AIF FK 2-1 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 28%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.72/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/3.26
+29% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.04.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK nicked a narrow win over Vanersborgs IF 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motala AIF FK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Motala AIF FK 2-1 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 49%, draw 29%, Vanersborgs IF 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motala AIF FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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