Vanersborgs IF 1-0 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

Vanersborgs IF
1-0 HT 1-0
Motala AIF FK
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-7.9pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vanersborgs IF v Motala AIF FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 40%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.86
-100% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF edged past Motala AIF FK 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vanersborgs IF found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK?

Vanersborgs IF 1-0 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 30%, draw 33%, Motala AIF FK 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Motala AIF FK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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