Vanersborgs IF 3-0 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 48%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.53/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.91
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.08.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
13.04.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
3-0
AWAY Motala AIF FK
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF cruised past Motala AIF FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Motala AIF FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 33% of the ball to Motala AIF FK's 67%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 1.00 for Motala AIF FK.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK?

Vanersborgs IF 3-0 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 30%, draw 27%, Motala AIF FK 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Motala AIF FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
18 May 2025
14:00 Astorp vs Laholms FK Analysis →
15:00 Ytterhogdal vs IFK Österaker Analysis →
15:00 Astrio vs Bergdalens Analysis →
15:00 FK Karlskrona vs Rappe Analysis →
16:00 IFK Trelleborg vs Österlen Analysis →
17:00 Kungsangen vs Jarfalla Analysis →