Kungsangen 0-1 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kungsangen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.10/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.39
-30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kungsangen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jarfalla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Jarfalla Jarfalla 0-1 HT 0-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
27.04.2024 Kungsangen Kungsangen 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
24.09.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-5 HT 0-3 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Kungsangen Kungsangen 1-3 HT 0-2 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
09.10.2022 Kungsangen Kungsangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
31.10.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-2 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kungsangen vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla squeezed past Kungsangen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jarfalla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kungsangen and 1.50 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of Kungsangen vs Jarfalla?

Kungsangen 0-1 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kungsangen vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kungsangen 29%, draw 27%, Jarfalla 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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