Real Aviles 3-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 45%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.14
-100% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 30
5 Shots on Target 17
Corners 12
31.07.2015 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-3 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
3-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles edged past Athletic Bilbao II 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Aviles had 48% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 52%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Real Aviles 3-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 29%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao II 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5
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