Osasuna II 0-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.98/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.95
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-2 HT 2-2 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
28.09.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-3 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
04.02.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
30.09.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
0-0
AWAY Ponferradina
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II and Ponferradina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna II had 44% of the ball to Ponferradina's 56%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Osasuna II and 2.25 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Ponferradina?

Osasuna II 0-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 33%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ponferradina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5
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