Ponferradina vs Osasuna II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Osasuna II — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Osasuna II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Osasuna II
İS3
Ponferradina 3-2 Osasuna II — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina nicked a narrow win over Osasuna II 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ponferradina had 66% of the ball to Osasuna II's 34%, shots finished 17-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ponferradina and 0.33 for Osasuna II.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Osasuna II?
Ponferradina 3-2 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Osasuna II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 52%, draw 26%, Osasuna II 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.