Ourense CF 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 42%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.16/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.35
-1% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2024 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-2 HT 0-2 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past Ourense CF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 47% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 53%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Ourense CF 1-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 36%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao II 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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