Fuenlabrada 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.09/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.56
-27% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Merida AD
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 2-1 HT 2-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
26.03.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
06.12.2022 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 0-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
06.09.2017 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada and Merida AD shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fuenlabrada at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 50% of the ball to Merida AD's 50%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fuenlabrada and 1.25 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Merida AD?

Fuenlabrada 1-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 45%, draw 29%, Merida AD 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fuenlabrada), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
20 Apr 2025
13:00 FC Andorra vs Gimnastica Segoviana Analysis →
13:00 Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao II Analysis →
13:00 Ponferradina vs Osasuna II Analysis →
13:00 Antequera vs Yeclano Analysis →
13:00 Atletico Madrid II vs Alcoyano Analysis →
16:30 Recreativo Huelva vs Real Madrid II Analysis →