Zamora CF 3-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+6.0pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.29/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.46
-12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora CF
3-0
AWAY Merida AD
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora CF vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora CF cruised past Merida AD 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zamora CF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zamora CF had 52% of the ball to Merida AD's 48%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Merida AD?

Zamora CF 3-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 57%, draw 21%, Merida AD 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora CF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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