Pisa 0-0 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.71
Over
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.8
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
18%
3.89
6+
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.8 — our 35% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.25
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
17%
6.95
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.02
2/X
9%
12.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
0.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.12
-100% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
29.0 Crosses 18.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
0-0
AWAY Fiorentina
0.71 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
162 Passes 315
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Pisa vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

neither Pisa nor Fiorentina could break the deadlock in a goalless afternoon. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Pisa had 38% of the ball to Fiorentina's 62%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.71 to 0.89.

Pisa vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Pisa 0-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pisa vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pisa 28%, draw 28%, Fiorentina 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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