Sassuolo 3-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.69
2-3
37%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.05
6+
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
13%
6.4
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.75
2/X
7%
13.25
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese The Market 33%
-4% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +18%
1.31/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.06
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Udinese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
383 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
17.12.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
12.02.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 2-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
11.09.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-3 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.05.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.11.2021 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 2-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
3-1
AWAY Udinese
1.24 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
252 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sassuolo vs Udinese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sassuolo had too much for Udinese 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

From a near-even 36% / 30% / 34% read, it was Sassuolo who turned the coin-flip their way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: Udinese saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.24 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Sassuolo against 2.00 for Udinese.

Sassuolo vs Udinese Result & Final Score

Sassuolo 3-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sassuolo vs Udinese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 36%, draw 30%, Udinese 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5
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