Lecce 2-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Sep 2025

Lecce
2-2 HT 1-1
Bologna
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Lecce vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.62
Over
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
36%
2.47
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.45
6+
7%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.47 — our 36% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.72
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
7%
9.72
X/2
13%
3.96
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.24
2/X
8%
15.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Lecce v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 58%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.06/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.77
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.0 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lecce vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bologna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 446
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2025 Lecce Lecce 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
02.11.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
11.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 4-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
03.12.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
04.06.2023 Lecce Lecce 2-3 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
23.10.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA

Lecce 2-2 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
2-2
AWAY Bologna
1.80 xG 1.37
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
166 Passes 442
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lecce vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lecce and Bologna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We leaned Bologna at 54% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bologna saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.80 to 1.37.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Lecce against 1.83 for Bologna.

Lecce vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Lecce 2-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lecce vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lecce 23%, draw 23%, Bologna 54%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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