Lecce 0-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.68
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
7%
7.95
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
18%
3.95
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.67
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.15/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.81
-25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.1 Crosses 13.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bologna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.26 xG 1.63
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 464
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
11.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 4-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
03.12.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
04.06.2023 Lecce Lecce 2-3 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
23.10.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
26.07.2020 Bologna Bologna 3-2 HT 2-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-0
AWAY Bologna
0.43 xG 0.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
217 Passes 363
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce and Bologna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Lecce had 41% of the ball to Bologna's 59%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.43 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lecce and 2.33 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Bologna?

Lecce 0-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lecce 24%, draw 33%, Bologna 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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