Cagliari vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cagliari v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTB
3-2
HT 0-2
Parma
İTB
2-1
HT 0-1
Cagliari
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Parma
İTB
4-3
HT 1-2
Parma
İTA
Cagliari 2-1 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari nicked a narrow win over Parma 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Cagliari had 38% of the ball to Parma's 62%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.17 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cagliari and 1.67 for Parma.
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Parma?
Cagliari 2-1 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Parma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 44%, draw 26%, Parma 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.