Venezia 0-1 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 9 Feb 2025

Venezia
0-1 HT 0-0
Roma
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.3
1/2
10%
23.4
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
8.35
X/2
14%
4.57
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.47
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.30/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.05
+39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 84%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.3 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Roma
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.66 xG 2.79
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 32
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 12
204 Passes 453
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 52
12 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
14.05.2022 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
07.11.2021 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-2 Roma Roma İTA
07.04.2002 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
02.12.2001 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
0-1
AWAY Roma
0.71 xG 1.63
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
461 Passes 226
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma edged past Venezia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Venezia had 63% of the ball to Roma's 37%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.71 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Venezia and 1.60 for Roma.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Roma?

Venezia 0-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Venezia 33%, draw 25%, Roma 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
9 Feb 2025
17:00 Lazio vs Monza Analysis →
17:00 Cagliari vs Parma Analysis →
20:00 Lecce vs Bologna Analysis →
22:45 Napoli vs Udinese Analysis →