BATE II 1-3 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
16%
3.64
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+4.6pp
16%
Draw
24%
-8.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.64
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
17.08.2024 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 3-1 HT 0-1 BATE II BATE II BLR1
POST-MATCH BATE II vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC got the better of BATE II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BATE II at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of BATE II vs Ostrovets FC?

BATE II 1-3 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE II vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BATE II 55%, draw 16%, Ostrovets FC 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BATE II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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