Uni Minsk 2-6 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.9pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni Minsk EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 69%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.30/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni Minsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baranovichi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
25.05.2025 Baranovichi Baranovichi 4-1 HT 3-0 Uni Minsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni Minsk
2-6
AWAY Baranovichi
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni Minsk vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi ran out comfortable winners over Uni Minsk 6-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baranovichi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Uni Minsk had 50% of the ball to Baranovichi's 50%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Uni Minsk vs Baranovichi?

Uni Minsk 2-6 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni Minsk vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Uni Minsk 22%, draw 17%, Baranovichi 61%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baranovichi), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✓ Over 2.5
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