Niva Dolbizno 2-4 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.2pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.51/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.89
+49% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +90%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
16.08.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 5-2 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
09.04.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk got the better of Niva Dolbizno 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Niva Dolbizno at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Niva Dolbizno and 1.33 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Niva Dolbizno 2-4 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 50%, draw 21%, FC Volna Pinsk 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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